First, move with alacrity. During the Great Depression a protracted delay in aiding banks proved fatal – a lesson Britain and now, this week, the
United States have taken on. Second, coordinate globally. The Bretton Woods
agreement near the end of World War II became an effective tool for reworking a
shattered world economy. Calls for a
second Bretton Woods are now being sounded by such figures as
Central to European leaders discussions Wednesday and Thursday in
(We recommend to read about
The storied 1944 Bretton Woods conference – where some 700 delegates
from 44 nations gathered at a hotel in
The legacy of Bretton Woods, said Mr. Zoellick in a speech this week,
was that the crisis of a ravaged
world created a commitment to remake institutions, to "turn the problems
of an era into an opportunity."
In the past week, European nations have begun to coordinate their
responses to the crisis, after initially being unwilling, or unable, to do so. The
two-day meeting in
"Mechanisms for cross-border cooperation in
The specter of another Great Depression of the 1920s and '30s has been
raised by the speed and scope of this financial crisis. But such fears have
been mitigated, for some, because Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is
himself a student of the Great Depression. He has taken the opposite approach
to the Fed's cautionary policy of the '30s, when the Fed tried to slow the economy, increased interest rates, and
allowed some 9,000 banks to fail.
By contrast, the Fed's response under Mr. Bernanke is entirely
proactive. The Fed has cut interest rates, worked closely with the US Treasury
to bail out key private firms like
Bear Stearns and AIG, and flooded markets
with liquidity.
Still, differences between the 1930s and today are profound, and not
easily comparable say economic
historians such as Ballard Campbell, author of the recent book
"Disaster, Accidents and Crises in American History."
Unlike the stereotyped image of the period, only a tiny number of
Americans were invested in Wall Street when it crashed in 1929. In the '30s,
there was no mass participation in pension investments such as 401ks or 403bs –
such investments didn't exist. The instant market
information flows of today were not available, for better or worse.
That's one reason why the pace of government response may be faster
today than in the lead up to the Great Depression.
French economist Jean-Paul
Fitoussi, director of a research center at Sciences Po in
"There are so many new imponderables that it is unclear if a
prolonged systemic depression can
repeat itself," says Mr. Campbell, at
But the current crisis, like
the one in the 1930s, does appear to be ushering in a major shift toward more government regulation and intervention.
Some historians compare the Ronald Reagan era of deregulation to a
similar period of "rugged individualism" touted by Herbert Hoover's
White House from 1929-33. That view was based on a small town ethos of personal
responsibility of the 19th century. But when banks failed in the 1930s, many
thrifty people lost their savings. The crisis was so great that in an
increasingly urban
"If there is anything cathartic in this crisis," writes
Mandelson in The Guardian, "it will be a healthy new skepticism for financial products we don't understand,
a heightened intolerance for excessive risk-taking…."
Today's calls for a new Bretton Woods, and global decisive action to create confidence and liquidity are common sense moves to
stave off a depression, says
Philippe Waechter, director of economic
research at Natixis Asset Management in
But Charles Wyplosz, of the Graduate Institute in
A French source at the office of the EU presidency in
As current EU president,
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